Coin tosso, Bayes ka theorem samjho, binomial distribution dekho — sab visual aur interactive!
Coin toss karo baar baar. Dekho: jaise trials badhte hain, frequency (observed) theoretical probability (0.5) ke paas aati jaati hai! Yahi Law of Large Numbers hai.
Bag 1 mein R red + B1 blue balls, Bag 2 mein R2 red + B2 blue balls. Ek ball red aayi — kis bag se aayi hogi? Yahi Bayes ka sawaal hai!
n trials, har trial mein success probability p. P(X=k) = ⁿCₖ·pᵏ·(1-p)ⁿ⁻ᵏ. n aur p change karo — distribution ka shape badle dekho!
Ek machine defective part banati hai. Tree dekho — P(defective) kaise calculate hoti hai? Har path ki probability multiply karo, phir add karo!